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if the other polls back up rasmussen and again we site rasmussen because they are the most accurate last time around and the time before that. that was an instant wing. i'm not going to say that will hold because there are a lot of things that could happen however, it shows a lot of people are paying attention right now. >> a lot of people are at paying attention. a lot of people watching the debate than in '08. >> 80 million people saw that debate. that doesn't count on the internet and other things like c-span. >> yeah. so people are very engaged. and they were watching that and clearly romney dominated in that debate. the president did very badly. i wouldn't be surprised to see some sort of change in the polls. but i think you hit on the most important thing, which is does this last? it will probably last until the next debate. >> numbers get to with lou dobbs going to help president obama. >> bill: what about the race deal? cookie stuff, we know where it comes from and who is generating it. we don't take it seriously. it is so far out there. these people, i guess they believe what th
if the other polls back up rasmussen and again we site rasmussen because they are the most accurate last time around and the time before that. that was an instant wing. i'm not going to say that will hold because there are a lot of things that could happen however, it shows a lot of people are paying attention right now. >> a lot of people are at paying attention. a lot of people watching the debate than in '08. >> 80 million people saw that debate. that doesn't count on the...
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scott rasmussen from rasmussen reports is in new jersey. scott, welcome back. those are theery latest numbers released just today, 48-48. yesterday, it was romney 49-president obama 48. is governor romney losing a little of the bounce he got from the debates? >> a little bit. there's certainly been a bounce in consumer confidence since friday's jobs report, that's helping the president a little bit. in fact, the number of people who think the economy is getting worse has fallen by 10 points following that jobs report. stuart: oh, so that the jobs report, is that factored into that number which we just gave everyone, 48-48. >> yes, they, it is. stuart: so it had an impact then? >> it did have an impact, but i want to talk about the larger picture. if we go back over the last 100 days of tracking, and get rid of the bounces and the different competing news stories, these two men have been within two points of each other, 72 days of 100. within 3 points of each other, 89 days out of 100. this race is very close and when we talk about momentum shifting, it means fr
scott rasmussen from rasmussen reports is in new jersey. scott, welcome back. those are theery latest numbers released just today, 48-48. yesterday, it was romney 49-president obama 48. is governor romney losing a little of the bounce he got from the debates? >> a little bit. there's certainly been a bounce in consumer confidence since friday's jobs report, that's helping the president a little bit. in fact, the number of people who think the economy is getting worse has fallen by 10...
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Oct 5, 2012
10/12
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rasmussen believes this result is significant. it shows governor tropical any 2 points up in florida and it was exactly the reverse before the debecause it. so it wasn't just tied. it was that obama was up by 2 in florida. so it's a 4-points swing in romney's favor. florida, romney can't win without florida. >> those are the two. mitt romney has to win back all the traditionally red states, then he has to win the two that are always battlegrounds. florida's electoral vote count is just as big as new york's. its population continues to grow. megyn: half of the new york population ends up moving to florida. >> reporter: but the idea is you can't win without these two states. so the idea of pulling out of ohio is the same as cedinged the election. we have long expected that romney would do pretty well in florida and that he was under performing in the polls. what people needed was an excuse to vote for him, a reason to feel good about voting for mitt romney. they have serious reservations about the incumbents and what he has done. th
rasmussen believes this result is significant. it shows governor tropical any 2 points up in florida and it was exactly the reverse before the debecause it. so it wasn't just tied. it was that obama was up by 2 in florida. so it's a 4-points swing in romney's favor. florida, romney can't win without florida. >> those are the two. mitt romney has to win back all the traditionally red states, then he has to win the two that are always battlegrounds. florida's electoral vote count is just as...
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Oct 2, 2012
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rasmussen said nato commanders are taking added precautions when recruiting afghan personnel. and they're working to improve intelligence gathering on insurgents. he said there's no change in plans to withdraw all nato troops from afghanistan by the end of 2014. >>> finance ministers will take on a challenge many have taken on over the years. how to deal with social problems in the middle east. ministers will meet next week in tokyo consider creating a fund to stimulate business and increase jobs in arab nations. the g-8 ministers have given their backing to the arab spring democracy movements in tunisia and egypt. they agreed on that support at a meeting last year in france. they're nour turni they're turning attention to youth unemployment contributing to unrest in the streets. finance officials will join the meeting. it will take place on the side lines of the annual gathering of the international monetary fund and world bank. >>> greeks have seen cut after cut to their salaries and services. and there may be more to come. guch government leaders proposed budget cuts of 7.8
rasmussen said nato commanders are taking added precautions when recruiting afghan personnel. and they're working to improve intelligence gathering on insurgents. he said there's no change in plans to withdraw all nato troops from afghanistan by the end of 2014. >>> finance ministers will take on a challenge many have taken on over the years. how to deal with social problems in the middle east. ministers will meet next week in tokyo consider creating a fund to stimulate business and...
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Oct 5, 2012
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eric rasmussen has the story. >> reporter: we're not identifying this neighborhood but police did come out to investigate. it's not your average backyard garden. >> somebody said it smelled like pot. >> reporter: in the middle of a residential neighborhood. you guys have a marijuana grow back here? >> yeah but the cameras are not all right. when i'm done harvesting my marijuana and take it and dispense it to the clubs. >> reporter: seems like a pretty big operation in there? >> no, actually it's about at the time there were 30 plants. now there's about 10 left. >> reporter: i think that there's more to this story than meeting the eye. and i don't think this going on in a residential area. >> reporter: this neighbor didn't want to be identified. she worries even a legal operation could mean trouble. >> i'm afraid that we're going to end up with crime wave over in this section. and i don't want to see that happening. >> reporter: a lot of these people are homeowners, they've been here for 20 plus years. of course they are more than entitled to be concerned for their tpaeubd. >> reporter:
eric rasmussen has the story. >> reporter: we're not identifying this neighborhood but police did come out to investigate. it's not your average backyard garden. >> somebody said it smelled like pot. >> reporter: in the middle of a residential neighborhood. you guys have a marijuana grow back here? >> yeah but the cameras are not all right. when i'm done harvesting my marijuana and take it and dispense it to the clubs. >> reporter: seems like a pretty big operation...
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eric rasmussen has the story. >> reporter: we're not identifying this neighborhood but police did come out to investigate. it's not your average backyard garden. >> somebody said it smelled like pot. >> reporter: in the middle of a residential neighborhood. you guys have a marijuana grow back here? >> yeah but the cameras are not all right. when i'm done harvesting my marijuana and take it and dispense it to the clubs. >> reporter: seems like a pretty big operation in there? >> no, actually it's about at the time there were 30 plants. now there's about 10 left. >> reporter: i think that there's more to this story than meeting the eye. and i don't think this going on in a residential area. >> reporter: this neighbor didn't want to be identified. she worries even a legal operation could mean trouble. >> i'm afraid that we're going to end up with crime wave over in this section. and i don't want to see that happening. >> reporter: a lot of these people are homeowners, they've been here for 20 plus years. of course they are more than entitled to be concerned for their tpaeubd. >> reporter:
eric rasmussen has the story. >> reporter: we're not identifying this neighborhood but police did come out to investigate. it's not your average backyard garden. >> somebody said it smelled like pot. >> reporter: in the middle of a residential neighborhood. you guys have a marijuana grow back here? >> yeah but the cameras are not all right. when i'm done harvesting my marijuana and take it and dispense it to the clubs. >> reporter: seems like a pretty big operation...
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Oct 6, 2012
10/12
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a rasmussen poll has governor romney up a couple of points after the debate. trying to do two things in the sunshine state, continue the momentum, that he began to build on, wednesday night and to show people as well, that he is not the scary guy the obama campaign made him out to be and stopped off at a cuban restaurant in tampa, and, shook hands and got takeout and folks seemed to appreciate it. and, at a campaign event in st. petersburg he looked back on debate night, a debate night many people saw as a big flop for president obama. >> did you hear what he had to say? i didn't either... i kept looking for a specific plan as to what he was going to do to create jobs and heard more of the same, stimulus, hiring more government workers, raising taxes, those things don't create jobs, they cost jobs. >> reporter: and the governor again repeating the findings of a study by the national federation of independent business which found over the long term, president obama's overall tax policies, when it comes to obamacare and his increase in taxes on the wealthiest of
a rasmussen poll has governor romney up a couple of points after the debate. trying to do two things in the sunshine state, continue the momentum, that he began to build on, wednesday night and to show people as well, that he is not the scary guy the obama campaign made him out to be and stopped off at a cuban restaurant in tampa, and, shook hands and got takeout and folks seemed to appreciate it. and, at a campaign event in st. petersburg he looked back on debate night, a debate night many...
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Oct 7, 2012
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after the debate we had a poll out this was from the rasmussen report. they have barack obama 50% and mitt romney 49% and this is among likely ohio voters. seems to be a tightening in voters in ohio and everybody knows that is a crucial state. >> that is the whole kit and kaboodle. the path would be difficult if he does not win, ohio. rasmussen is a little bit of outliar here. more like 45. >> 49.36. >> so three. what you are seeing here is rasmussen is a little bit ahead of the curve. if he is in fact on his daily polling picking up something that is really good news for mitt romney. >> shannon: ed, what do you think, should the romney camp take it with a bit of cautious optimism? >> they shouldn't at all. execute their game plan. debated a tremendous bebait the other night. mitt romney made himself what he needed to be which was a viable alternative who put forth ideas o of how to get the economy moving again. the destates will will close up. i predict by the next debate this will be a dead even rate, dead even in the national polls and in the states c
after the debate we had a poll out this was from the rasmussen report. they have barack obama 50% and mitt romney 49% and this is among likely ohio voters. seems to be a tightening in voters in ohio and everybody knows that is a crucial state. >> that is the whole kit and kaboodle. the path would be difficult if he does not win, ohio. rasmussen is a little bit of outliar here. more like 45. >> 49.36. >> so three. what you are seeing here is rasmussen is a little bit ahead of...
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>> rose: we begin evening with anders fogh rasmussen, he's the secretary general of nato. this conversation was recorded on friday while he was attending the united nations general assembly. >> by the end of 2013 we will have-- 2014 we lch 352,000 afghan security forces and even more importantly quality wise they will be very capable. some time ago i visited afghanistan myself and i had an opportunity to observe with my own eyes afghan special operation forces in action and i was very impressed by what i saw. so the taliban miscalculate the situation if they think their situation will be better by the end of 2014. they will be faced with a very strong and capable afghan security force. >> rose: we continue by looking at a new project in brooklyn, it's a basketball arena and a development. it brought together interesting people, including mikhail prokhorov and irina prok rovea his sister, bruce ratner the developer and karen brooks hop hopkins. >> i think the barkley center is in keeping with the spirit of brooklyn. >> wh n what way? >> it's like very energetic and you know
>> rose: we begin evening with anders fogh rasmussen, he's the secretary general of nato. this conversation was recorded on friday while he was attending the united nations general assembly. >> by the end of 2013 we will have-- 2014 we lch 352,000 afghan security forces and even more importantly quality wise they will be very capable. some time ago i visited afghanistan myself and i had an opportunity to observe with my own eyes afghan special operation forces in action and i was...
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but a new rasmussen poll of likely voters shows cain pull ago way with 52%. rasmussen has now moved the virginia senate race from toss- up to leaning democratic. >>> president obama spent the night in california at a fundraising concert in los angeles with a roster full of hollywood stars including actor george clooney, katie perry, stevie wonder, just to name a few. mitt romney is back in the battleground state of virginia today to deliver a speech on foreign policy at the virginia military institute in lexington. >>> two big tech firms in china are getting the cold shoulder from u.s. lawmakers. the house intelligence committee today releases a report warning american companies they should not do business with two chinese firms. the house panel says the firms pose a threat to national security based on recent cyberattacks traced to china. a maryland congressman spoke out last night on 60 minutes. >> we have evidence that china has been taxing us on a regular basis, even now as we speak that china has been taking a lot of our trade secrets, our papt ents from
but a new rasmussen poll of likely voters shows cain pull ago way with 52%. rasmussen has now moved the virginia senate race from toss- up to leaning democratic. >>> president obama spent the night in california at a fundraising concert in los angeles with a roster full of hollywood stars including actor george clooney, katie perry, stevie wonder, just to name a few. mitt romney is back in the battleground state of virginia today to deliver a speech on foreign policy at the virginia...
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rasmussen has a reputation for being a poll that makes republicans look good. gallup is considered a nonpartisan poll, not one with a tilt one way or the other. they show president obama up five points, though much closer for the post-debate portion of the sample. president obama was on the west coast today courting latinos, and he gave some remarks about the state of the economy and how it affects latinos. >> no matter who you are and what you look like or where you come from, this is the place where you can make it if you try. today we have more work to do to fulfill that promise. the recession we're fighting our way back from is still taking a toll, but thanks to the strength and character of american people, we are making progress. >> now, of course, latinos are one of the reasons president obama has been doing well in some of the western states like colorado, nevada, new mexico, as well as florida. we now have to see gin the smift in polls whether he can continue to remain on top and it sets up the vice presidential debate on thursday between paul ryan and
rasmussen has a reputation for being a poll that makes republicans look good. gallup is considered a nonpartisan poll, not one with a tilt one way or the other. they show president obama up five points, though much closer for the post-debate portion of the sample. president obama was on the west coast today courting latinos, and he gave some remarks about the state of the economy and how it affects latinos. >> no matter who you are and what you look like or where you come from, this is...
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in the rasmussen polls over the last two days, obama is doing better. that's consistent with the trend i talked about earlier. the question is whether obama gets an outsized bounce in states like ohio, nevada and iowa where he was doing better than nationally. if you look at all of the national polls conducted since the first debate, what you see is about a three point gain for romney. if that holds and if that uniformly filtering down to the battleground states, romney would still trail in iowa, ohio and alabama and obama would have a slight advantage ♪ electoral college. >> continuing our theme of what really matters, let's talk about the polls. obviously, polls don't vote. but do they sway the electorate? do they see one person as leading or gaining and some people decide to change their vote? is there some science on do polls actually shape the election itself? >> i don't think there's very much evidence that polls shift the election. if they did, i think we would see, you know, a clearer sign of that. what i think the public reacts to that is mom
in the rasmussen polls over the last two days, obama is doing better. that's consistent with the trend i talked about earlier. the question is whether obama gets an outsized bounce in states like ohio, nevada and iowa where he was doing better than nationally. if you look at all of the national polls conducted since the first debate, what you see is about a three point gain for romney. if that holds and if that uniformly filtering down to the battleground states, romney would still trail in...
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there are 15% in a rasmussen poll that are still uncommitted. bob bennett a former republican senator from utah and byron dorgan democratic senator from north dakota is also joining us. senator dorgan, that seems like a high number. what do you make of this ahead of wednesday night's debate? >> well most polls have are you certain and then also are you leaning? this doesn't have one of those categories. you know, this is kind of like a scavenger hunt for good polling news. it is entertaining, but it doesn't matter very much. what really matters is what do the polls show how independents feel in ohio, pennsylvania, florida, wisconsin and so on? so, you know, this is a close race. i think president obama is leading in the key swing states. and this debate is going to be very interesting, viewed by a lot of americans. so i think both candidates are going intoothis thinking they really have to do well. connell: senator dorgan is right senator bennett in that the president has been leading in the polls. take nbc "wall street journal" as an example in
there are 15% in a rasmussen poll that are still uncommitted. bob bennett a former republican senator from utah and byron dorgan democratic senator from north dakota is also joining us. senator dorgan, that seems like a high number. what do you make of this ahead of wednesday night's debate? >> well most polls have are you certain and then also are you leaning? this doesn't have one of those categories. you know, this is kind of like a scavenger hunt for good polling news. it is...
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>> it's interesting the head of nato in brussels today rasmussen essentially hinted as much with an interview with the guardian newspaper. general john allen the top u.s. commander in afghanistan expressed his frustration. >> i am mad as hell about it to be honest with you. we're going to get after this. it reverberates everywhere across the united states. we're willing to sacrifice a lot for this campaign. but we're not willing to be murdered for it. >> allen is the first top level general to, excuse me, rasmussen is the top person to, at this point in nato to suggest any sort of change in the withdrawal deadline general allen from used at the inability to stop these kind of insider attacks, shepard. >> shepard: jennifer griffin at the pentagon. thanks so much. meantime journalists in afghanistan are celebrating a small victory for freedom of the press. the afghan government has agreed to drop some of its proposed new restrictions on reporters there among the changes, getting rid of a special court for accusations of media violations. still the government rejected more than a dozen changes t
>> it's interesting the head of nato in brussels today rasmussen essentially hinted as much with an interview with the guardian newspaper. general john allen the top u.s. commander in afghanistan expressed his frustration. >> i am mad as hell about it to be honest with you. we're going to get after this. it reverberates everywhere across the united states. we're willing to sacrifice a lot for this campaign. but we're not willing to be murdered for it. >> allen is the first top...
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. >> and i'm eric rasmussen in for mike mibach. let's check in with meteorologist rosemary orozco. >> good morning to you. it will be another enjoyable day. we are waking up with a little bit of fog. low clouds. giving way to high clouds for the afternoon. temperatures will be very similar this afternoon. this morning we are waking up in the 40s and 50s once again. a chilly spot in some spot -- chilly start in some spots. tuesday into wednesday we may see that chance for rain. i'll bring you'll the latest rain models and temperatures for today coming up. >>> we are on the scene of a breaking news out in hayward where more than 5,000 people are without power. it happened when a woman hit a power pole. allie rasmus joining us live from the scene where people are waking up to power lines on their cars and in their yards. >> reporter: this is why there were 5,000 people are without power. you can see the 45-foot power pole sliced in half. that car white car right next to it that is the driver that crashed into it. knocking the power po
. >> and i'm eric rasmussen in for mike mibach. let's check in with meteorologist rosemary orozco. >> good morning to you. it will be another enjoyable day. we are waking up with a little bit of fog. low clouds. giving way to high clouds for the afternoon. temperatures will be very similar this afternoon. this morning we are waking up in the 40s and 50s once again. a chilly spot in some spot -- chilly start in some spots. tuesday into wednesday we may see that chance for rain. i'll...
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gallup, rogers, rasmussen, by 5%, 3%. that is statistically significant. >> this is what you call a bounce. boy, was it. i mean, look, he cleaned up. now, of course obama will have two more chances. a total of three debates, but i think that the debate was important for two reasons. one, mitt romney looked presidential. he looked like he can play the part, and that was important. he was -- he was more up to speed on the issues that barack obama was. gerri: the guy who's running the country did not seem able to counterpoints. >> right. obama could not get past the sound bites. now, i am old enough to remember when walter mondale beat ronald reagan in the first debate. no, my god. walter mondale will be president of the united states. of course, reagan came back. that is when he made his famous statement. i won't use my opponent's age and experience in this debate. but then, i think the vice presidential debate is important because that is coming up thursday. i think that paul ryan has also come across as being presidential
gallup, rogers, rasmussen, by 5%, 3%. that is statistically significant. >> this is what you call a bounce. boy, was it. i mean, look, he cleaned up. now, of course obama will have two more chances. a total of three debates, but i think that the debate was important for two reasons. one, mitt romney looked presidential. he looked like he can play the part, and that was important. he was -- he was more up to speed on the issues that barack obama was. gerri: the guy who's running the...
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meantime, a new rasmussen poll shows romney ahead of president obama following last week's debate 49 to 47%. president obama's performance in the debate was the subject of a the laughter last night prompted by the president himself. here is what he had to say after he took the stage the a fundraiser in california following some big names including stevie wonder and katie perry. >> they just performed flawlessly night after night. i can't always say the same. ay but here is the good news is we've got a better vision for our country. we have a better plan for the next four years. >> president obama will be campaigning in california again today. >>> also making headlines this morning, the meningitis outbreak continues to spread. >> the pharmacy linked to the outbreak makes a move it is calling a precautionary measure. details on that coming up next. >>> also ahead, he was convicted of crimes that shattered lives and left a legendary football program tarnished. tomorrow, jerry sandusky will learn his fate. fox 5 morning news back in a moment. [ barack obama ] i'm barack obama, and i appr
meantime, a new rasmussen poll shows romney ahead of president obama following last week's debate 49 to 47%. president obama's performance in the debate was the subject of a the laughter last night prompted by the president himself. here is what he had to say after he took the stage the a fundraiser in california following some big names including stevie wonder and katie perry. >> they just performed flawlessly night after night. i can't always say the same. ay but here is the good news...
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and this is the nbc poll, but then you've got rasmussen and gallup. but it's all you've got. >> obviously we spend a lot more money polling than scott rasmussen does. >> he was right, though, the last couple of elections. >> not right at the end. >> yeah. >> it's what happens in the middle sometimes it seems a little bit haywire. all my point is on this is i -- we have, the two people we have conduct nbc "wall street journal," they poll for politicians, and why does that matter? because they're not polled to -- they're polled to get it right. if they're not, they don't get clients. so i'll take -- i'll take that. >> but you have 200 million people and you've got polls under 2,000 people. and i know we have statistical analysis and we talk about margins of error and everything. >> i hear you. i just -- i defend -- i could tell you. we spend a lot of money. and look, you guys use the same pollsters we do. the cnbc poll. you guys know these guys are the gold standard. we spend so much money. it is unfair -- i hate the idea that they are -- >> do you thin
and this is the nbc poll, but then you've got rasmussen and gallup. but it's all you've got. >> obviously we spend a lot more money polling than scott rasmussen does. >> he was right, though, the last couple of elections. >> not right at the end. >> yeah. >> it's what happens in the middle sometimes it seems a little bit haywire. all my point is on this is i -- we have, the two people we have conduct nbc "wall street journal," they poll for politicians,...
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. >> i haven't seen it specifically -- i saw something on twitter a headline that even rasmussen has obama up three. so now they've got -- >> stephanie: the fox news poll. as well. >> they're in on the conspiracy. >> the "wall street journal" poll. you have to have rupert purr dock's -- murdoch's fox, rupert murdoch, rasmussen in on the conspiracy. it is a wildfire! >> stephanie: we're like wow. so mitt romney is running a really good campaign? [ scooby-doo's "huh?" ] >> so now fox news's strategy is to diminish the people who vote for president obama. calling them stupid. stupidest people on earth. >> stephanie: let's hear some of that. let's dive into the right-wing world. sean hannity reaching back for his reagan binky. >> you and i know this, the president walked into a mess, right? let's stop and think about it. so did ronald reagan. >> ronald reagan, 8% growth. >> we're not debating ronald reagan. we're debating obama. >> reagan had a far worse economy than obama inherited. he said he was inheriting it and he said -- but he hasn't fixed it. >> wow. >> stephanie: wow. really rea
. >> i haven't seen it specifically -- i saw something on twitter a headline that even rasmussen has obama up three. so now they've got -- >> stephanie: the fox news poll. as well. >> they're in on the conspiracy. >> the "wall street journal" poll. you have to have rupert purr dock's -- murdoch's fox, rupert murdoch, rasmussen in on the conspiracy. it is a wildfire! >> stephanie: we're like wow. so mitt romney is running a really good campaign? [...
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recent rasmussen poll says 42% of those backing the president are locked in stone. that gives the governor some room tomorrow night. but he needs to be surgical in making his points. that's a memo. now for the top story, is u.s. foreign policy in trouble? joining us from boston, fox news military analyst, colonel david hunt and ralph peters. colonel peters, we in trouble foreign policy wise? >> the obama administration has never had a foreign policy. bill, he's only had this assortment of confused, naive initiatives poisoned by ideology, deformed by politic, driven by politics, and the only thing these initiatives in the foreign affairs realm have had in common has been their failure. if you look from benghazi to beijing, in this afro-asian realm of crisis, there is not one troubled country, not one, not russia, not china, certainly not iran, afghanistan, pakistan, certainly not israel, not one country in which relations are healthier or more constructive than under george w. bush, and that was a pretty low standard. >> bill: what do you say, colonel hunt? >> i thin
recent rasmussen poll says 42% of those backing the president are locked in stone. that gives the governor some room tomorrow night. but he needs to be surgical in making his points. that's a memo. now for the top story, is u.s. foreign policy in trouble? joining us from boston, fox news military analyst, colonel david hunt and ralph peters. colonel peters, we in trouble foreign policy wise? >> the obama administration has never had a foreign policy. bill, he's only had this assortment of...
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rasmussen shows how many people are for the president and how many for mr. mitt romney . rasmussen poll was accurate in 2004 and 8 getting the results according to the track being poll. 43 percent said they are certain to vote for romney and 42 percent certain vote for obama and 15 percent haven't decided . >> gretchen: that's huge. that is a dead heat report to look at the certainty of these people they are voting early right and these people who know in the debates who they will vote for. these debates are for the undecided it is a huge chunk of the population. other than voters turn out of the base. that will turn the election>> eric: that is 10-20 percent of the undisguisable and persuadable. throw that poll up one more second. in the bottom of that. likely voters. those are the polls that are most accurate and go after the likely voters . not just people who poll random people. >> steve: you and i talked about george washington university. they do a battle ground poll . barak 49 percent x. romney 47. and now he leads by 4 in the independents which is a better number
rasmussen shows how many people are for the president and how many for mr. mitt romney . rasmussen poll was accurate in 2004 and 8 getting the results according to the track being poll. 43 percent said they are certain to vote for romney and 42 percent certain vote for obama and 15 percent haven't decided . >> gretchen: that's huge. that is a dead heat report to look at the certainty of these people they are voting early right and these people who know in the debates who they will vote...
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up two in rasmussen, down three in gallup. and the question is does this week continue that momentum. the vice president debate in the past has been critical for either accelerating or breaking the momentum one way or the other for the party in power. and we saw dick cheney came through twice for president bush, once in 2000 against joe lieberman when they were continuing the progress bush that in the first debate, second time was in breaking the momentum that john kerry had in 2004. and cheney bested john edwards in 2004, that helped him. so we have to see whether paul ryan, who is very smart policy guy, can beat joe biden who makes shall mistake, but he's been around a long time and he those some thing. p. >> you wrote a column suting the debates ultimately are oftentimes historically irrelevant, that they don't change the outcome. is there something specifically happening this time that's different? >> what i said in that story was that historical pattern is that usually even if you have a surprisingly good first debate for
up two in rasmussen, down three in gallup. and the question is does this week continue that momentum. the vice president debate in the past has been critical for either accelerating or breaking the momentum one way or the other for the party in power. and we saw dick cheney came through twice for president bush, once in 2000 against joe lieberman when they were continuing the progress bush that in the first debate, second time was in breaking the momentum that john kerry had in 2004. and cheney...
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rasmussen and gallup at 5 and rasmussen at 2. >> polls it show obama up 11 in swing states. that sounds high to me. but in any case, obama's ahead, romney has to change something. he has a chance to do it. >> all right, john harwood, thank you. >> today is the start of the fourth quarter. and joining us is teach stanley, chief economist for peerpont securities. the lead story is how trade is slowing around the world. all of europe's problems getting exported to the rest of the world. what do you think this means just in terms of the fourth quarter and maybe a look into next year? >> good morning, becky. well, i think right now the u.s. economy is really slow in part because of what you guys were just talking about, the election. i think a lot of businesses have gone to the sidelines and they're waiting to see as you all discuss, we have a huge choice to be made. and businesses don't really know what the outlook is going to be for the next four years. so if i have -- if i'm a businessman and i have an investment or hiring decision to make, i'm just going to wait a couple mont
rasmussen and gallup at 5 and rasmussen at 2. >> polls it show obama up 11 in swing states. that sounds high to me. but in any case, obama's ahead, romney has to change something. he has a chance to do it. >> all right, john harwood, thank you. >> today is the start of the fourth quarter. and joining us is teach stanley, chief economist for peerpont securities. the lead story is how trade is slowing around the world. all of europe's problems getting exported to the rest of the...
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looking at scott rasmussen tracking poll. this is the first poll based entirely on interviews after the debate. mitt romney had a modest debate bounce. the question is will it be a blip or lasting change. >> gretchen: look at the university of colorado forecasting model. this is interesting. this is the only model that looks at the electoral college and you need those votes to be president. 330, of the 538 map are going to mitt romney. this is the same out fit in august or september or august 22nd prediction they said the same thing. but romney picked up five more points. >> steve: what they do. they look at economics of what is going on nationally and local and state level . they look at wealth and they look at unemployment and all sorts of stuff. they predict mitt romney will win these states. new mexico and that is new since they updated it and, north carolina and win virginia ohio new hampshire colorado, wisconsin and ohio and florida and barack will win michigan and nevada. >> gretchen: i don't think that romney will win
looking at scott rasmussen tracking poll. this is the first poll based entirely on interviews after the debate. mitt romney had a modest debate bounce. the question is will it be a blip or lasting change. >> gretchen: look at the university of colorado forecasting model. this is interesting. this is the only model that looks at the electoral college and you need those votes to be president. 330, of the 538 map are going to mitt romney. this is the same out fit in august or september or...
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>> well they have been and we know from scott rasmussen today that the consumer confidence over the weekend shot up and boom, the president's ratings have gone up overnight since yesterday they've gone up because of that jobs number. >> yeah, that is huge. i think the president will use that. joe biden will use it in the debate. but ultimately the president believes he will win with negative because he doesn't have is a record to run on or defend. dagen: does mitt romney need to sit back and hope the president just makes some huge error at this point? >> i think he's got to keep doing what he's been doing which is to be as john said positive on the campaign trail, dagen, but also make it clear there's an alternative approach to failed policies. dagen: how do you think wednesday shakes out? what are the odds you putting on biden making a huge gaffe because that's the reason people will watch frankly. >> better than even odds that he will say something that he shouldn't say that will be a news item. and i think seriously i think this libya thing will be made an issue in that debate to set up
>> well they have been and we know from scott rasmussen today that the consumer confidence over the weekend shot up and boom, the president's ratings have gone up overnight since yesterday they've gone up because of that jobs number. >> yeah, that is huge. i think the president will use that. joe biden will use it in the debate. but ultimately the president believes he will win with negative because he doesn't have is a record to run on or defend. dagen: does mitt romney need to sit...
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a rasmussen poll fromepo the weekend -- is more from the vice-president on the weekends and florida. [video clip] >> they're spending a lot of time telling you what barack obama and joe biden are against and what we have done. the attack everything. the truth of the matter is that nowhere is it more clear what they would do that in medicare. let me start by giving you a few specific examples. to make a examples. number one, they have laid out clearly, they say, that what barack obama and i did was we endangered medicare, that we stole money from medicare and we did this to get obamacare and all this. you see it in ads and everything they say. nothing could be further from the truth. everyone of you in this room who is on medicare or has a mother or father on medicare knows that since barack obama acted, your parents and those of you on medicare have more benefits than before. host: back to your calls on whether the vice presidential nominees will impact your vote? raymond is a democrat in waco, texas. caller: good morning. i want to make a comment on the medicare issue. i think ameri
a rasmussen poll fromepo the weekend -- is more from the vice-president on the weekends and florida. [video clip] >> they're spending a lot of time telling you what barack obama and joe biden are against and what we have done. the attack everything. the truth of the matter is that nowhere is it more clear what they would do that in medicare. let me start by giving you a few specific examples. to make a examples. number one, they have laid out clearly, they say, that what barack obama and...
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it's tied in the rasmussen poll at 48 which featured in the weekend post-debate poll. romney was ahead by two points. there was some impact from the unemployment numbers on friday, you look at the data since the debate it's a 47-47 tie. there's big events coming up. the first debate was the biggest thing since the conventions. now this thursday on the 11th you've got paul ryan and vice president joe biden. this is going to be very important for obama's effort to stave off romney. then on the 16th you got the second obama-romney debate. on the 22nd final obama-romney debate. then the last friday before the election one more jobs number. my own inclination the job numbers aren't quite as "game change"ing for debates as for the reason voters know how they feel about the economy. they don't need a government report. it does get a lot of attention and we got a race that's plainly at this point even though obama still has a slight advantage in the battleground states this race can go either way. >> interesting. then we got the governor, of course, speaking at vmi about forei
it's tied in the rasmussen poll at 48 which featured in the weekend post-debate poll. romney was ahead by two points. there was some impact from the unemployment numbers on friday, you look at the data since the debate it's a 47-47 tie. there's big events coming up. the first debate was the biggest thing since the conventions. now this thursday on the 11th you've got paul ryan and vice president joe biden. this is going to be very important for obama's effort to stave off romney. then on the...